Our hour-by-hour demand forecast, with its confidence band and the error we actually get. Everything on this page is calculated by us and is unofficial.
The line is the most likely value. The area around it is the range we expect real demand to fall into: the further ahead the forecast goes, the wider the band gets.
Estimated from weather forecasts and installed capacity. Solar peaks around midday, wind depends on the weather and can stay high all night.
For each of the last seven days: the average demand actually delivered, as measured by Transelectrica, and the two forecasts made a day earlier. The percentage next to each forecast shows how far it landed from reality. The bar scale starts at 5,600 MW so small differences stay visible. We also publish the days when the official forecast beat ours.